Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000666 0.000758 0.000854 0.000964 0.001084 0.001212 0.001359
2025-10-12 0.000533 0.000660 0.000805 0.000979 0.001182 0.001410 0.001684
2025-10-19 0.000449 0.000591 0.000759 0.000971 0.001227 0.001526 0.001896
2025-10-26 0.000383 0.000534 0.000719 0.000959 0.001261 0.001623 0.002085
2025-11-02 0.000341 0.000498 0.000698 0.000967 0.001314 0.001740 0.002296
2025-11-09 0.000303 0.000463 0.000675 0.000967 0.001354 0.001839 0.002484
2025-11-16 0.000261 0.000418 0.000632 0.000937 0.001351 0.001881 0.002600
2025-11-23 0.000227 0.000381 0.000597 0.000914 0.001354 0.001928 0.002722
2025-11-30 0.000204 0.000356 0.000578 0.000910 0.001380 0.002005 0.002882
2025-12-07 0.000184 0.000336 0.000562 0.000908 0.001408 0.002085 0.003047
2025-12-14 0.000165 0.000313 0.000540 0.000897 0.001422 0.002144 0.003184
2025-12-21 0.000146 0.000290 0.000517 0.000881 0.001427 0.002190 0.003304
2025-12-28 0.000139 0.000284 0.000520 0.000906 0.001493 0.002324 0.003549
2026-01-04 0.000130 0.000276 0.000518 0.000922 0.001546 0.002440 0.003773
2026-01-11 0.000117 0.000259 0.000501 0.000914 0.001563 0.002504 0.003924
2026-01-18 0.000105 0.000243 0.000484 0.000903 0.001574 0.002560 0.004064
2026-01-25 0.000098 0.000234 0.000478 0.000911 0.001613 0.002657 0.004265
2026-02-01 0.000089 0.000223 0.000468 0.000910 0.001639 0.002735 0.004439
2026-02-08 0.000078 0.000204 0.000442 0.000882 0.001619 0.002743 0.004510
2026-02-15 0.000069 0.000188 0.000421 0.000860 0.001608 0.002764 0.004600
2026-02-22 0.000063 0.000178 0.000410 0.000856 0.001626 0.002828 0.004755
2026-03-01 0.000057 0.000170 0.000402 0.000854 0.001647 0.002898 0.004921
2026-03-08 0.000052 0.000160 0.000388 0.000844 0.001653 0.002944 0.005049